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January 17, 2015

25

NASA’s 1/100° Increase In Temperature ‘2014 Hottest Year Claim’ Deceitful

by CJ Orach - peopleneedpower

NASA’s 2014 temperature “hottest year” figures are deceitful (as a lot of the figures released by the Global Warmists are). Any temperature claim of hottest year based on surface data is based on hundredths of a degree hotter than previous hottest years. This immeasurable difference is not even within the margin of error of temperature gauges. The claim of the hottest year is simply a political statement not based on temperature facts. NASA’s “hottest year claims” are based on minute fractions of a degree while ignoring satellite data showing Earth is continuing the 18 plus year halt of Global Warming.

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Climatologist Dr. Pat Michaels has debunked the 2014 hottest year claim:
Fact 58.46° is indistinguishable from 58.45°

Moreover 2014 was not the hottest year in the geological history of earth. Climate was hotter 7,000 years ago, hotter 120,000 years ago, and hotter for most of the history of life on Earth and life thrived. NASA’s 1/100° temp increase for 2014 is meaningless in the grand scheme of earth’s geologic temperature record.

— It doesn’t mean CO2 caused the 2014 1/100 Degree Increase in Temperature

— It doesn’t mean warming is bad.

—- It doesn’t mean it will continue to warm.

—- And it doesn’t mean we understand what drives the climate.

What it does mean is there is NO justification for:

— Whacking poor with skyrocketing fuel prices,

— Destroying the U.S. Fossil Fuel Industry and

— Killing millions of jobs in a delusional mission to stop natural climate change. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11434-014-0317-3#page-1

2c506308-a1de-4ff3-b53b-02376a0a1663.jpg

25 Comments Post a comment
  1. Jan 21 2015

    Corrections, comments and criticisms would be appreciated on this one-page summary of “The Great Social Experiment of 1945-2015”:

    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Social_Experiment.pdf

    With kind regards,
    Oliver K. Manuel

    Reply
  2. Jan 21 2015

    CJ Orach – peopleneedpower commented: ”Read your link and you make some good points about skeptics.\\

    You have checked your weapons / from a distance – now here are the ”real” weapons, that are giving insomnia to the Warmist – if public knew what’s in this post – leading warmist would have being in jail before next Christmas. Because everything can be proven now ”beyond any reasonable doubt”, no need to wait 1ooy. you want to get on the front foot, here it is: https://globalwarmingdenier.wordpress.com/2014/07/12/cooling-earth/

    Reply
  3. Jan 20 2015

    “The Great Social Experiment”

    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Social_Experiment.pdf

    Would appreciate all comments, corrections and/or criticisms.

    Oliver

    Reply
  4. Jan 19 2015

    If the Sun is of paramount importance to all Earth’s inhabitants, and . . .

    . . . if leaders of Russian, American, Asian, African and European nations are working behind-the-scenes to use science as a propaganda tool to control the public, they will ask leaders of their own National Academy of Sciences NOT to address publicly nine pages of precise experimental data that FALSIFY:

    1. The Standard Solar Model
    2. The Standard Nuclear Model
    3. The Standard Climate Model
    ,

    models they uniformly endorsed for the last seventy years (2015 – 1945 = 70 yr):

    “Solar energy,” Adv. Astronomy (submitted for on-line review, 6 Jan 2015)

    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Solar_Energy_For_Review.pdf

    To date this self-identification voting has been unanimously in favor of a tyrannical one-world government that is totally out of contact with reality.

    https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2015/01/18/a-true-statement-from-the-experts/

    Reply
  5. Jan 18 2015

    Nobody knows what was last year’s temp, to save his life – comparing the temp with other years… is more than ignorance:::

    the ”correct” monitoring is completely WRONG, not only the manipulated data; therefore: the overall ‘’global’’ temp is same every year, BUT hypothetically: even if there was any fluctuation in temp, nobody would have known, because nobody is monitoring on every 10m3, for every minute in 24h!!!

    1] monitoring only for the hottest minute in 24h and ignoring the other 1439 minutes, in which the temp doesn’t go up, or down, as in the ”hottest” minute…. statistically 1439 minutes against one…?!?! Hello ”statisticians! It’s same as: if the car is got 1440 different parts, but you are building that car, ”with one bolt only” you will not get very far…! Some places, sometimes warms by 5C from midnight to midday – other places and different times from midnight to the hottest minute in the day – IT WARMS UP BY 20c-25c- and 30C, in 12h difference – no swindler takes those things into account! Why?!

    2] the ”highest temp minute in 24h, is not at the same time every day! Sometime is the ”hottest at 11, 50AM, most of the time is after 1pm = that is many more warmer minutes than previous day.

    3]example: tomorrow will be warmer by 2C than today, happens many times; and they will record 2C warmer – because the ”warmest” minute was 2C warmer, not ALL the rest of the 1439 minutes since midnight were warmer by 2C. b] question is: ”is it going to start from midnight, every minute to be warmer than the same minutes in previous day?! Therefore: recording only the hottest minute is meaningless! Nobody knows what was the temp yesterday, or last year on the WHOLE planet… but most of the fanatics in the blogosphere pretend to know with precision the temp for the whole year, for last thousands of years… What repetition and aggressive propaganda can do to a grown up person’s brains… tragic, tragic…

    4] on a small hill, put a thermometer on all 4 sides; all 4 will show different temperatures on different day and on SAME minute simultaneously – when you take in the account that: on many places one thermometer represents millions of square kilometers, where are thousandths of ”independent” variations, every few minutes, on every different altitudes = gives a clear picture about their ”global temperature” for last 50years… or 5000 years, or for the last two years. On small part of the planet is warmer for few weeks than normal – they declare it as: ”warmer year”… what a science… couple of months after, when on that same place is colder than normal – they avoid that place and point other place where is for 3-4 days warmer than normal… what a brainwashing scam…

    5] pointing at some place that is warmer than normal – is SAME as saying: ”the planet is warmer by 12C at lunch time, than before sunrise…? taking in consideration the size of the planet: one thermometer or 6000 thermometers, wouldn’t make any difference! ( look at their ”global” temp charts… they look like seismographs… with ”precision” to one hundredth of a degree, for the last thousandths of years… = the biggest con /lies since the homo-erectus invented language…

    6] a thermometer can monitor the temp in a room; but one thermometer for 10 000km2?!

    7] even those ”few” (6000) thermometers are not evenly distributed; no honest statistician would have taken to make ”statistic” if he wasn’t told: which individual thermometer, how much area represents. Example: if the workers in 4 countries have their pay packet increased by a dollar, and in 2 countries had ”decreased by a dollar Q: would the ”overall’ all workers in those 6 countries get more money, or less? Of course, statistic would say: ‘’yes’’ (the 4 countries were Luxembourg, Monaco, Belgium and Portugal, increased by a dollar. The other two were India and Chinese workers, decreased by a dollar) statistic would be wrong; because two thermometers represent much larger area than the other four combined. So much about the ‘’correct’’ temp data… (there are more thermometers in England monitoring for IPCC, than in Russia… England is a small dot on the map (but most of the lies come from there) Warmist Poms are the most shameless liars..

    8] when is sunny – on the ground is warmer / in upper atmosphere is cooler – BUT, when is cloudy, upper atmosphere is warmer, on the ground cooler – overall same temp; BUT, because ALL thermometers monitoring are on the first 2m from the ground = they are completely misleading! There is much less heat in the first 2m from the ground, than in the rest of 10km up. The rest of 10km up, is not on their ”globe”…?!

    9] for the shonks northern hemisphere summer is warmer by 3,8C than S/H summer. That tops the stupidity; they can’t get it correct even about same year. They come WRONG by 3,8C for two different reasons: a] N/H has more deserts, southern hemisphere has more water. Desert has warmer top temperature, BUT the night temperatures are cooler – by not taking all minutes in 24h, they are wrong by +/- 3C. In deserts get to 45-50C at day time, but nights are cold -/ on islands in south pacific between day / night temp is different 3-5C, is that science? B] on southern hemisphere are ”LESS” thermometers = less thermometers cannot say correct temperature against the N/H more thermometers, when you summon up all the numbers. So: only by those two factors they are wrong by +/- 3C, but when you say the last year’s temp cooler by 0,28C than today’s = it shows the sick propaganda… they call themselves ”scientist” Instead going to Antarctic, Arctic to get reumatizam and spend millions, they can get the whole truth on my blog; but they are scared from the truth as the devil from the cross… The truth: if they have same number of thermometers, distributed evenly AND every minute in 24h is taken in consideration = would have shown that: every day and every month of every year and millennium is ”overall” same temperature on the earth!!!

    10]almost all of those 6000 thermometers collecting data for the ”climatologist; are distributed on land – water covers 2/3 of the planet!!! If you don’t understand what that means… you are qualified to be a ”climatologist”…

    11]When you point out to them that: ‘’6000 thermometers cannot monitor the temp in the whole troposphere – thermometer is good to monitor room temp, but not one thermometer for 1000 km2 – 6000 thermometers is not enough to monitor the temp in all Hilton Hotel’s rooms’’ -> they instantly point out that: ‘’there is satellite temp monitoring’’! Well, ‘’satellite’’ is a great technology, very impressive; unfortunately, they don’t have 350km long thermometers, to monitor from space the temp on the ground! They use infrared photos that never covers the whole planet, in two color blotches for the whole of Pacific, or for the whole of US. The ‘’two’ colors represent THE different temp, BUT: if you look the evening weather report, it says that are many variations in temp even for the big cities in USA; would be much more variations if they were reporting for every square mile! B] temp distribution is three dimensional in the atmosphere and constantly changes, cannot present it on two-dimensional picture! Satellite monitoring is the biggest con! Unfortunately, person responsible for analyzing those pictures will not admit the truth – because he prefers to be seen as very important, by the gullible foot-solders, the lower genera and IQ Warmist & Skeptics…

    12]Earth’s temperature is not same as temperature in a human body I.e: if under the armpit goes 0,5C up = the whole body is higher by 0,5C, arms, legs, the lot. Therefore, can tell if is gone higher or not. Earth’s temp is different on every 100m and FLUCTUATES ”INDEPENDENTLY”! Which means: one thermometer cannot tell the temp correctly for 1km2, when one monitors for thousands of square kilometers = Warmist can get away with that sick trick, thanks to the ignorant phony Skeptics and bias media… (Skeptics don’t need even thermometers, a pit-bog on each hemisphere is sufficient for them… Nobody knows what was the earth’s temp last year – to save his / her life! They ”pretend” to know what was the earth’s temp for thousandths of years = that’s Warmist & Skeptic’s honesty!

    Using only those 12 points above; to put any leading Warmist on a witness stand, under oath => will end up in jail; for using the ”temperature data / charts” as factual =/ Skeptics & Warmist of lower genera and IQ in a nuthouse, for believing in warmer / colder years. Warmist only prosper and flourish, thanks to the Skeptic’s outdated Pagan beliefs…

    Reply
    • Interesting comment. After NASA’s big headline 2014 a record hot year they do an Opps and admit 2014 may not be warmest year after all http://dailym.ai/1udCaTY Again, when the past was warmer life thrived during the Roman and Medieval Warming Period http://bit.ly/1xzFIdA .

      “Abstract
      The large-scale syntheses of global mean temperatures in IPCC fourth report suggested that the Northern Hemisphere temperature in the second half of the 20th century was likely the highest in at least the past 1,300 years and the 1990s was likely the warmest decade. However, this remains debated and the controversy is centered on whether temperatures during the recent half century were higher than those during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA, AD 800–1300) and the Roman Warm Period (RWP, BC 200–AD 400), the most recent two natural warm periods of the late Holocene. Here the high resolution sea surface temperatures (SSTs) of two time windows around AD 990 (±40) and AD 50 (±40), which located in the MCA and RWP respectively, were reconstructed by the Sr/Ca ratio and δ 18O of Tradacna gigas shells from the northern South China Sea. The results suggested that the mean SSTs around AD 990 (±40) and AD 50 (±40) were 28.1 °C and 28.7 °C, 0.8 °C and 1.4 °C higher than that during AD 1994–2005, respectively. These records, together with the tree ring, lake sediment and literature records from the eastern China and northwest China, imply that the temperatures in recent decades do not seem to exceed the natural changes in MCA, at least in eastern Asia from northwest China to northern SCS.

      Reply
    • Jan 19 2015

      JC Orach… nobody knows what was ”global” temp last year, BUT: you people ”pretending” to know what was the ”GLOBAL” temp 1000y ago, or 2000years ago… is only giving oxygen to the Warmist… We deniers cannot corner the Warmist – because they are hiding behind the ”Skeptic’s” lies… There was NO Roman or medieval ”global” warming! Don’t forget: ”climatologist” didn’t start lying in the 80’s – lying was always their bread and caviar, INCLUDING the ones that were concocting the past warmings / coolings! b] in 1200AD people were scared to sail more than 30km west of Portugal, not to fall off the planet; because the planet was flat at that time! Who was collecting the temp at that time in Oceania, antarctic ocean and continent, both americas, and the rest of the planet, for you and those ”researchers”?! Overall global temp is ALWAYS the same – they didn’t know that the real proofs exist! c] same as the one who ”found a proof in China… that ”proof” could be for that place – not for whole of china, definitely not for the WHOLE planet!

      2] I will give you all the ”real proofs” so you can make the Warmist lives miserable BUT: before that an advice: ”officer is winner in battle, the one who checks his own weapons first ”- here is to check your own weapons – after will give you the REAL proofs: https://globalwarmingdenier.wordpress.com/2012/08/25/skeptics-stinky-skeletons-from-their-closet/

      Reply
      • Update to prior comment:
        Thanks for your comment. So you are saying that the argument by skeptics that climate change is a natural phenomenon going through warm and cold periods so todays rise in temperatures is not unusual is bogus? What about the ice age? Here’s another link that illustrates that point: Giant Of Geology/Glaciology Christian Schlüchter Refutes CO2 Climate theory Feature Interview Throws Climate Science Into Disarray http://shar.es/1bGGUy via @notrickszone

        Is your premise earth would be frozen without the earth’s atmosphere acting as an a self regulating insulator that human’s have no control over. Moreover, there is no accurate way to measure global temperature as it is always changing from day to night, the height of the thermometer,the location, etc. Thus no precise temperature reading is possible making the claim the earth is warming or cooling a complete farce?

      • Jan 21 2015

        @ CJ Orach, Update to prior comment:says: ” So you are saying that the argument by skeptics that climate change is a natural phenomenon going through warm and cold periods so today’s rise in temperatures is not unusual is bogus?”

        On the contrary! I’m not just saying, but I’m proving that: ” climatic changes are constant / some places changes for better / others for worse! BUT: ”global” temp is always the same!!!”

        Climate is constantly changing – same as the moon is constantly orbiting around the earth, BUT; the phony ”global” warmings are phony – same as the sun is not orbiting around the earth = therefore: when Warmist &skeptics are talking ”climate” but are actually talking about ”global” temp; is same as saying: the moon and the sun are orbiting around the earth… = precursor of all misleadings and today’s evil…that’s what the ”honest” laws of physics say – same laws of physics were then, as they are today, and same will be in 100y – I can substantiate everything i say!

        2] coldness doesn’t dictate the amount of snow / ice; as the propaganda says! Siberian permafrost is much, much colder than European alps, but no snow or ice – (permafrost is desert in a cold country) b] example: if Sahara keep expending and producing more ”dry heat” to destroy the ”raw material” over Mediterranean, that is for ”renewal” of the snow / ice on the Alps -> that ice will be vacuumed by the ”dryer air” without even turning into water. That doesn’t mean that is warmer, OR colder planet = it means that: people interested in the subject have being made to believe in Pagan beliefs and to bark up the wrong tree…

        3] ”Ice Age for 12000y” was only on the northern hemisphere – at that time, the southern hemisphere had ”hotter” days than today – as ”global” warmings are phony -/ so are the phony ”global” coolings. the ”globe is a big place boys! this was the big ice age:: https://globalwarmingdenier.wordpress.com/midi-ice-age-can-be-avoided/

  6. Jan 17 2015

    Thanks to the courage and intellectual integrity of a few brave souls like you, there are encouraging signs now that Climategate will soon be resolved and we will all finally reap the benefits that Lord Aston promised mankind ninety-two years ago:

    https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2015/01/17/eric-steig-gets-27-million-pinocchios/#comment-482620

    Reply
  7. Again, Bottom Line Is Global Warming has halted for 18+ years Plus Past Was Warmer

    The Problem with NOAA 2014 “hottest year ever” claim is that 2014 breaks previous “hottest year” records of 2005 and 2010 by 0.04°C . I guess coming up with numbers NOAA wants using statisitics is easy. Average surface temperature of the Earth to a precision of a hundreth of degree to make the claim 2014 was the “hottest year” on record It boggles the mind.

    Even GISS know you need to allow for uncertainties.

    After 2010 they said this:

    “Global surface temperatures in 2010 tied 2005 as the warmest on record, according to an analysis released Wednesday by researchers at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York.

    The two years differed by less than 0.018 degrees Fahrenheit. The difference is smaller than the uncertainty in comparing the temperatures of recent years, putting them into a statistical tie.

    http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/news/20110112/

    h/t comments On the Biases Caused by Omissions in the 2014 NOAA State of the Climate Report http://wp.me/p7y4l-vtG

    As to the overall claim that 1.24 F increase since 1880 “proves” the earth is getting warmer is also false and ignores past earth’s geologic history which was warmer than today.

    The latest Chinese study says the Sea Surface temperatures were warmer in both the Roman and Medieval Warm Periods which NASA/NOAA/Academia/UN and other warmists Ignore!

    http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11434-014-0317-3#page-1
    Reply

    Reply
  8. Jan 17 2015

    Your ‘facts’ are wrong. Feel free to join the debate once you get your facts right.

    Reply
    • Cite one fact that is wrong than feel free to join the debate..

      Reply
    • Your link proves my point. Temperature changes in 1/100 ° increments ergo meaningless.

      http://www.wmo.int/pages/publications/bulletin_en/archive/56_3_en/56_3_gcs_en.html

      If anybody is still in any doubt that it is UNSCIENTIFIC to make claims about hottest years, without taking into account error bars, I would advise what the WMO had to say on the issue in their report on global temperatures for 2006: https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/01/17/wmo-demolish-noaanasa-claims-of-hottest-year/

      “All temperature values have uncertainties, which arise mainly from gaps in data coverage. The size of the uncertainties is such that the global average temperature for 2006 is statistically indistinguishable from, and could be anywhere between, the first and the eighth warmest year on record.”

      Moreover,Earth’s Climate didn’t start in 1880

      Reply
      • Jan 17 2015

        You didnt even bother to read it. Your claim is a lie. You hate evidence based debate. I provided proof that your article title is a lie, and you didn’t even bother to read it. You are a fool.

      • Jan 19 2015

        hampshirehog, my previous comment (second from the top) proves beyond any reasonable doubt that: BBC and NASA are completely wrong / intentionally lying!!!!

        Here is the truth, real proofs, regarding the phony ”global” warming: https://globalwarmingdenier.wordpress.com/2014/07/12/cooling-earth/

    • It is a lie that I did not read your link.. Again,,

      Your link proves my point. Temperature changes in 1/100 ° increments ergo meaningless.

      http://www.wmo.int/pages/publications/bulletin_en/archive/56_3_en/56_3_gcs_en.html

      If anybody is still in any doubt that it is UNSCIENTIFIC to make claims about hottest years, without taking into account error bars, I would advise what the WMO had to say on the issue in their report on global temperatures for 2006: https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/01/17/wmo-demolish-noaanasa-claims-of-hottest-year/

      “All temperature values have uncertainties, which arise mainly from gaps in data coverage. The size of the uncertainties is such that the global average temperature for 2006 is statistically indistinguishable from, and could be anywhere between, the first and the eighth warmest year on record.”

      Moreover,Earth’s Climate didn’t start in 1880

      Reply
      • Jan 17 2015

        I cant believe that I am doing this… What is bigger – 1 cent or 1 dollar?

      • Jan 17 2015

        Your claim: temperatures have increased by 0.01 Fahrenheit (or 1 cent) The truth: temperatures have increased by 1.24 Fahrenheit (or one dollar). As I said, when you come up with some facts you are welcome to join the debate. ‘Till then I suggest that you keep your fantasies to yourself. Good evening.

    • Here is another link showing NOAA “warming” increments 1/100° ergo No Meaningful Change In Temperatures

      ‘Warmest year’, ‘pause’, and all that http://wp.me/p12Elz-4zT via @curryja

      “The margin of uncertainty we achieved was remarkably small (0.05C with 95% confidence).This was achieved, in part, by the inclusion of data from over 30,000 temperature stations, and by the use of optimized statistical methods. Even so, the highest year could not be distinguished. That is, of course, an indication that the Earth’s average temperature for the last decade has changed very little”

      Bottom Line NOAA 2014 “Hottest Year” Claim Deceitful.

      — 58.46° is indistinguishable from 58.45° Yes or No.

      — “Earth’s average temperature for the last decade has changed very little

      — Past Warmer Liffe Thrived http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11434-014-0317

      Reply
      • Jan 17 2015

        Since you are clearly not going to accept the truth I have nothing more to say to you. A dollar is worth more than a cent.

    • Bottom Line NOAA 2014 “Hottest Year” Claim Deceitful.
      — 58.46° is indistinguishable from 58.45° Yes or No.
      — “Earth’s average temperature for the last decade has changed very little
      — Past Warmer Life Thrived http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11434-014-0317

      Reply
      • Jan 17 2015

        Are you doing this deliberately? Last years change was 124 times more than your claim. I don’t intend responding again. I suggest that you take a basic maths course. Goodnight and goodbye.

    • Your the one who is mathematically challenged.

      “How Hot Does It Have to Be to Break a Record?
      By PATRICK J. MICHAELS SHARE
      So who hasn’t seen one of the bajillion recent stories saying 2014 is going to set the instrumental record for the highest average global surface temperature? May we throw a teense of cold water on that hot news?

      Annual temperatures are calculated by averaging up monthly readings, so the last data point that we have is October. The National Climatic Data Center, a part of the Department of Commerce, estimates that global average temperature was a record high of 58.46°F. The previous record was 58.45°.

      The key word is “estimates.” When a scientist measures something—with a ruler, a scale, or a thermometer, for example—there’s always a measurement error owing to properties of the measuring device or even the skill of the scientist. When it comes to global temperature, scientists are averaging data from over a thousand thermometers scattered about the planet. Some are well-taken care of, and some are not. Some may have traces of urban warming in them. Nor is the number of readings exactly the same from year to year, or even from month to month.

      The result is that there is a central estimate (58.46°) and a 95% confidence range as to where the “true” value lies.

      The most recent and most transparent error analysis of global temperatures has been done by a group called Berkeley Earth. For October, they find that the 95% confidence range is 0.10°F, or +/- 0.05°.

      So, using the normal rules of science, is 58.46° then distinguishable from 58.45°? In a word, “NO.”

      http://www.cato.org/blog/how-hot-does-it-have-be-break-record

      Reply

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