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July 24, 2014

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New Paper by McKitrick and Vogelsang comparing models and observations in the tropical troposphere

by CJ Orach - peopleneedpower

Earth To President Obama Climate Models Do Not Reflect Reality Time To Stop Your War On The US Fossil Fuel Industry. The Earth Is Cooling.

Climate Audit

This is a guest post by Ross McKitrick. Tim Vogelsang and I have a new paper comparing climate models and observations over a 55-year span (1958-2012) in the tropical troposphere. Among other things we show that climate models are inconsistent with the HadAT, RICH and RAOBCORE weather balloon series. In a nutshell, the models not only predict far too much warming, but they potentially get the nature of the change wrong. The models portray a relatively smooth upward trend over the whole span, while the data exhibit a single jump in the late 1970s, with no statistically significant trend either side.

Our paper is called “HAC-Robust Trend Comparisons Among Climate Series With Possible Level Shifts.” It was published in Environmetrics, and is available with Open Access thanks to financial support from CIGI/INET. Data and code are here and in the paper’s SI.

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  1. Jul 26 2014

    Tony Heller’s insightful video lecture on “The Emperor’s New Climate”

    http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/07/25/link-to-my-2014-iccc-talk-posted-on-the-heartland-web-site/

    And this link to forbidden information on “Solar Energy”

    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Preprint_Solar_Energy.pdf

    Illustrates the absurdity of the 1945 decision to take totalitarian control of the world and to hide it’s heat source.

    Reply

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