Arno Arrak says:
May 11, 2014 at 7:14 pm
Paul, you are missing the biggest argument of all: the alleged greenhouse warming does not exist. Everyone knows that Hansen reported the existence of the greenhouse effect to the Senate in 1988. Well, he was wrong about that, and his observations do not prove it exists. And neither has anyone else seen it. What Hansen did was to show a rising temperature curve, going from a low in 1880 to a high in 1988. That high 1988 peak, he said, is the warmest temperature in the last 100 years. There was only a half a percent chance that this could happen by accident. Hence, there was a 99 percent probability that this warming is greenhouse warming, thus proving that the greenhouse effect is real. But when you check the Congressional Record you find that he includes a non-greenhouse warming from 1910 to 1940 as part of his 100 year greenhouse warming. Radiation laws of physics dictate that to start an enhanced greenhouse warming you must simultaneously increase the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. This did not happen in 1910, hence this warming was not greenhouse warming. Its sudden cessation in 1940 leads to the same conclusion: it is impossible to stop greenhouse warming unless you remove all the absorbing molecules from the air. It follows that this warming must be subtracted from his 100 year greenhouse warming. Lopping it off at 1940 removes 60 of his 100 warming years. And IPCC-AR5 does not even claim detection of the greenhouse effect before 1950. This leaves Hansen with a see-saw temperature curve consisting of 25 years of cooling followed by 23 years of warming. You don’t have to be a rocket scientist to know that no way can this prove the existence of the greenhouse effect. Hansen;’s claim that he has observed the greenhouse effect is simply false. But nobody checked Hansen’s science and he has been getting away with this fiction for the last 24 years. In the meantime, IPCC has been predicting climate by using a non-existent greenhouse effect in their climate models and getting wrong predictions of warming. Likewise, the missing hot spot at ten kilometer height in the tropics is also an artifact of using a non-existent greenhouse effect in their calculations. More to the present, we have no warming today and there has been none for the last 17 years, despite the predictions of Arrhenius that adding more carbon dioxide to air will warm it. This is enough to prove Arrhenius wrong. The only theory that does explain the warming pause is the Miskolczi greenhouse theory (MGT). According to MGT the increased greenhouse warming by addition of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere is neutralized by the condensation of water vapor. That is because carbon dioxide and water vapor jointly share an optimum absorption window in the IR that has a fixed optical thickness of 1.87. Addition of carbon dioxide increases the optical thickess and water vapor compensates for it by condensing until the original optical thickness is restored. This explains the missing warming they have been looking for in the ocean bottom. It is the exact reverse of what IPCC believes because the water vapor effect is negative, not positive as they still think.